tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8560898823512627114.post3448778800807653348..comments2024-02-01T00:37:24.768-05:00Comments on PTP: Bill Belichick Must Be a HorseplayerPull the Pockethttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05082676049275768769noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8560898823512627114.post-79562472246964123572009-11-16T16:37:23.815-05:002009-11-16T16:37:23.815-05:00This is exactly the way I look at driver decisions...This is exactly the way I look at driver decisions in harness racing. If a driver has a horse who needs every inch of racetrack to beat the leader and has the two hole, he might have a 0% chance to win if he pulls it. If he sits he might have a 25% chance to get boxed, but he has more than a 0% chance to win if he gets out and uses the draft. When he sits he did the right thing like Belicheck did. Although bettors will scream at him for getting boxed.<br /><br />PBAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8560898823512627114.post-37381453181657412502009-11-16T16:22:40.342-05:002009-11-16T16:22:40.342-05:00I thought that was a great call. That NY Times art...I thought that was a great call. That NY Times article you linked explained it well. Most coach's...... because they fear losing their job and not being able to face the music...... rarely play the proper percentages....... Shanahan used to do things just like this and he could get away with it. He has made that call (it worked both times) on his side of the field in high scoring games. <br /><br />Belichick has no fear of losing his job ........ and it is why he wins games.<br /><br />Having said that ..... I agree with Alan. I don't like him and I do not think I will ever like him...... I am typing with a smile on my face.<br /><br />RogeAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8560898823512627114.post-27059573433570317762009-11-16T16:14:33.719-05:002009-11-16T16:14:33.719-05:00Great coach/terrible call. Whether the play succe...Great coach/terrible call. Whether the play succeeded or not, you just cant go for it on 4th down on your own 28 yard line with a 6 point lead this late in the game. Make the Colts go 80 yards to beat you.rakebackhttp://www.rakebackleader.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8560898823512627114.post-68518286949314087192009-11-16T15:40:08.683-05:002009-11-16T15:40:08.683-05:00What were the Betfair odds when they lined up to g...What were the Betfair odds when they lined up to go for it? That is the interesting question.<br /><br />Alan, 20 years ago, there was a lot of mooch money that has now disappeared to slots and lotteries.<br /><br />Now it is good handicappers versus good handicappers and thanks to tris in every race and supers in many, takeout has increased.<br /><br />As for whales, their systems have lots to do with handicapping. Handicapping systems are just as valuable as methods where someone prints out a form and does their own numbers etc.Cangamblehttp://www.cangamble.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8560898823512627114.post-81609021735556930132009-11-16T13:33:05.394-05:002009-11-16T13:33:05.394-05:00The difference/irony here is that, while this migh...The difference/irony here is that, while this might have been a horseplayer decision as you say, it was in this case made by a man who many of us consider to be a horse's ass. And that certainly accounts for some of the opinions you're reading today.<br /><br />Also wanted to add belatedly to your post on Handicapping - One Sentence Is Enough - with the growth rate of the advances in handicapping information we've seen over the last 20 years, we'd all be making money if our proficiency increased at even a fraction of that rate. Instead, how many people do you really think are making more money? And how many of those are whales who are utilizing numerical programs or algorithms that have nothing to do with handicapping?Alan Mannhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12570505944559196118noreply@blogger.com