tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8560898823512627114.post5455419413896252956..comments2024-02-01T00:37:24.768-05:00Comments on PTP: Notes on a Stormy SaturdayPull the Pockethttp://www.blogger.com/profile/05082676049275768769noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8560898823512627114.post-84868606524159303402007-12-15T14:28:00.000-05:002007-12-15T14:28:00.000-05:00Great post V. I agree, since I handicap with facto...Great post V. I agree, since I handicap with factors like trainers (e.g. Banca with Devonshire in the first race last night at the M), I find this difficult. Black boxes don't work in thoroughbred racing either, tho, and the ones that do work seem to be database driven. <BR/><BR/>I think we should expand this chat in the future and get some ideas how to quantify the unquantifiable in harness racing.<BR/><BR/>Thanks for the good response!!!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8560898823512627114.post-13202042721159409442007-12-15T13:33:00.000-05:002007-12-15T13:33:00.000-05:00Better, or more available, handicapping software i...Better, or more available, handicapping software in harness might indeed be a good idea. Programs I've seen, used or developed in the past often seem to have some foundation based on the preachings of Ainslee. While such programs can still provide you some valuable info, they haven't evolved with some of the changing factors ( or weight that can be applied to them) in today's game. <BR/><BR/>Ainslee didn't put a huge value onto trainer changes. How has that changed in today's game. Numbers don't lie, and there are certain auto "upgrades" that can be expected off changes today. How do we properly account for that in a software based program? <BR/><BR/>Also, what is the impact of today's seemingly poor charting practices on evaluating the factors of Ainslee? Charts today showing a horse parked at a quarter pole doesn't mean they were parked out for the entire quarter, but rather they have their snout on the outside as they passed the pole, even if only for a millisecond. Conversely, you could be parked 4 wide the entire quarter but if you hit that rail before the pole, you show up on the line as not parked. <BR/><BR/>What about the impact of horses moving around on various sized tracks? The USTA speed ratings of tracks are practically useless imo.<BR/><BR/>One thing for sure, with the amount of info available through Pathway and Track It type databases, some erstwhile handicapper with time on their hands could sure take a good crack at something more modern for today's challenges you would think.<BR/><BR/>With such data available to you, is there an opportunity to run software which can provide overall guidance but also take into account horse specific or trainer specific alerts??Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com