Friday, December 6, 2013

Friday Notes

Happy Friday everyone.

Today I plan to write a post that climbs every mountain, because my fingers are alive with the sound of typing. Ya, I actually watched that musical last evening. I grew up in a town that had two channels, "3" and "6". I am pretty sure the Sound of Music movie was telecast for like every holiday, but I can't remember seeing it. Ever.

Speaking of Austria, Frank came out against raceday meds today. I think more big breeders and stalwarts who do not depend on every day racing, say like a stable of 25 at Mountaineer does, will follow over the next year or two or four.

Dan Silver is now employed by NYRA once again, after a stint at Penn National. I wonder why he left?

There's a good article for casual gamblers on Twinspires.com via Derek Simon. Almost each day at the track we see the gambler's fallacy preached, as well as a heavy reliance on a lack of understanding of randomness. Fun read.

The press needs to "stop being cheerleaders" and "what most people want are an accurate representation of events". That was said by Geoff Ogilvy with regards to the Tiger Woods bullying saga regarding a commentator that said something nasty about him.

This is not a good story. The clerk of scales at Woodbine's hearing began this week. Not good at all. Despite the obvious, this is a gambling game, with a lot of money bet on it. Rules are there for a reason.

Steve Crist, some may think surprisingly, says he doesn't much like the NYRA admission hikes.

With social media added to the fact that customers have felt so left out and are tired of what they think is being treated like a "necessary evil", tracks need to be very wary of doing things like this. It's not 1960 anymore.

Hong Kong has a big weekend of racing coming up. Wednesday night, on a night that hosted a middle of the road racecard at Happy Valley, the handle was more than the handle of the Kentucky Derby. 15,000 people showed up to bet.

Scotty Zeron (or if you are south of the border, I guess that's pronounced "Zeerron") has not been getting any live drives at the Meadowlands. I guess that's expected, but that should change. Very good tactical driver, who uses power when he has it, and generally leaves you something left to take back to the barn. Statistics are for the most part meaningless when it comes to drivers. The best driver to ever drive a horse would have a less than 2% win percentage if his average odds are over 30-1. Scotty needs some power.

Horse of the Year in harness racing (and I suppose Thoroughbred racing too) has probably been decided. But Pacer of the Year is up for grabs. Who wins it? The good three year old, or the nine year old who won a few big races and defied expectations? It's a really interesting discussion. I may have a look at it sometime soon.

Over at VFTRG, Joe asks if both Captaintreacherous and Iluvthenitelife faced poor competition, and he declares they did. I think that's true in the colt's case, but I don't think that's anything near correct in the filly's case. Historically there tends to be one, or maybe two fillies with talent to go huge speed at three. It's a division that is rarely deep. This year there are several fillies with chops. Not only that, several of them lasted the entire season without missing a beat.

If you watched the Lady Maud, you saw Charisma Hanover who is probably the third ranked filly of 2013 race and win easily in 51.4. A race later you saw Ronny Bugatti win the Messenger with similar fractions and time. That rarely happens. In Ronny's (a horse who had not done a thing in 2013) wake was Lucan Hanover, the horse we're supposed to believe is 'almost as good as Captaintreacherous' after his narrow lost first over to him a couple of weeks later.

This filly group is solid. Not only does it have the fastest time of anyone (colts or fillies) in 2013, it also has some iron tough mares who can rough it.

Have a nice Friday everyone. And remember, a doe is a female deer.

No comments:

Most Trafficked, Last 12 Months

Similar

Carryovers Provide Big Reach and an Immediate Return

Sinking marketing money directly into the horseplayer by seeding pools is effective, in both theory and practice In Ontario and elsewher...