Well tonight's pick 7 at Woodbine, with the monster carryover looks much better to me. If Just the Begrinning and/or Silent Swing win, it goes for certain, in my opinion.
But, these are hard to hit. 7 even money shots in a row is still an under 1% hit rate. So let's try and figure out a ticket.
910-3-47-34-2356710-1359-246 = 576 bets for $576
Running that through with probabilities, that gives us a nice little edge bet. Namely, that ticket blankets a couple of races heavily, with high hit rate probability.
But it is still showing only a 5.74% chance to hit.
If I go 0 for 7 with some of these horses, I think I should stick to all-all daily doubles.
Good luck to anyone who plays.