Tuesday, June 3, 2008

North America Cup Elims; Fair Odds Line & Handy Links

The Cup elims have been drawn. 27 colts connections have made the $8000 starting fee payment. I have also made a Cup Champion fair odds line, based on the entries.

The fields are as follows (courtesy Woodbine Entertainment)

1st Elimination

1 - BADLANDS NITRO
2 - SANTANNA BLUE CHIP
3 - KEYSTONE HORATIO
4 - HANDS TO YOURSELF
5 - SHARE THE DELIGHT
6 - SCAPE GHOST
7 - UP FRONT HANNAHSBOY
8 - TRADE EDITOR
9 - SPACE WALK

2nd Elimination

1 - ART OFFICIAL
2 - LONESTAR LEGEND
3 - LEGACY N DIAMONDS
4 - SOMEBEACHSOMEWHERE
5 - MUCHO SLEAZY
6 - FRANKYLUVSMEATBALS
7 - ON THE BRINK
8 - IDLE HOUR
9 - SHADOW PLAY

3rd Elimination


1 - STONEBRIDGE MAGNUM
2 - DALI
3 - RUDY REDNOSE
4 - SAND SHOOTER
5 - FOUR STARZ MOXIE
6 - WARNING ZONE
7 - DALEY DEPOSIT ONLY
8 - DEUCE SEELSTER
9 - LENNON BLUE CHIP

Here is my first crack at a North America Cup XXV Fair Odds Line. We will be updating this after the eliminations.

#1 Somebeachsomewhere (50%; even)

#2 Art Official (11%; 8-1)

#3 Dali (9%; 10-1)


#4 Share the Delight (6%; 15-1)

#5 Badlands Nitro (5%; 20-1)

#6 Santanna Blue Chip (4%; 25-1)

#7 Sand Shooter (4%; 25-1)


#8 Keystone Horatio (2%; 40-1)

#9 Lennon Blue Chip (1%; 60-1)

#10 Rudy Rednose (1%; 60-1)

Field (5%: 20-1)


Cup XXV Handicapping and Betting Resources

Information: For all the news and notes on Cup XXV, including interviews and video, and historical handicapping reports from WEG's Mike Hamilton, check out Northamericacup.com. It is a vital resource if you plan to play the big Cup pools (all pools are large for this race - the largest pools of the year in Canada).

Betting the Cup: USA: Mohawk is bettable at several ADW internet platforms in the US, including national ones like Youbet.com, Twinspires.com and a couple of other smaller regional ones. The only national ADW Mohawk is not available at is Premier Turf Club, so if you are a member there, you must sign up at one of the others to be able to bet the race. We know how difficult it is to sign up for places in cyberspace for racing (and fund the accounts), so get cracking if you want to play the Cup. Canada: fans can play Cup night at Horseplayerinteractive.com, or of course head to the track, or their nearest teletheatre.

Chat Sites: To chat with other fans about the Cup, come up with a potential pick or two, or just for general interest, try Harnessdriver.com. Sign up, it's free.

Inside Info: To follow along with some owner thoughts, and perhaps some hard-to-find handicapping information regarding a horse's fitness, or connections thoughts, Andrew Cohen is blogging the next couple of weeks (he owns contender Share the Delight) at his blog. Other owners who are posting include the owners of Dali and Daley Deposit Only.

General:
The Harness Edge has a bio of all the participants. Standardbred Canada has all the news and notes.

I sincerely hope that everyone enjoys Cup Week, and I offer all the owners, trainers and groom's of all of these horses my sincere best wishes. Good luck and best wishes as well to Greg, Mike, Chris and all those at WEG on a successful next two weeks. I hope their hard work is rewarded with a good crowd, great weather and a great race.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

If the juges start enforcing all the rules,consistently, the "new" fines and penalties being levied will bring back more than a few bettors. My personal action averaged about $600-$1,000/day. but went down to $0/day because the "hole" was never closed for Jamieson. All drivers. except Luc Oullette backed off so frequently that it was getting quite sickening.

Hence I stopped betting WEG harness for the last 8 months and was hoping the game here would die a natural death, like Montreal. If the judges don't start enforcing all the rules thats exactly what will happen. Clearly all connected to the harness game should be aware of this fact.

Anonymous said...

Your fair odds will only work if your total is 127. You need to add 17 for takeout and 10 for betting interest. Or thats how I do it anyways. That is how the ML gets set. I will shoot you off a link you may find interesting. PP

Pull the Pocket said...

I do it out of 100, give or take. That way I have built in value.