In horse racing you'll find a lot of opinions, some of which are right, wrong or debatable. One that is considered an immutable law of racing, however, is that winning long term is very hard; so hard in fact, that without lower takeout through rebate, I'd submit only a handful of people could ever hope to beat the rake.
What makes the game more difficult than ever, in my view, is that yes, information is more flowing now, and fields are shorter which makes chalk more formidable. But more than that, one piece of truth has been harder than ever to test -- if you can't win while betting only the win pool, you don't have enough skill to beat exotics. Exotics are everywhere, and for newer players they're a black hole of bankroll death because the rake is high, and ticket structure (along with keeping your wits about you through inevitable bad losing streaks) is a learned skill. You can, and will, lose money faster than ever before.
With that, I was perusing the interweb and saw this: A 10% win rake offer from DRF until September 15th at selected tracks*.
If you've ever wanted to learn if you have what it takes to beat the races (and can't get a proper rebate structure to test your skill) this, in my view, is a perfect test. Bet win, pay ten points, and at the end of the test see what your ROI is. If, again this is my opinion, your ROI is in the mid to high nineties or better over this time (betting regularly, not spot playing), you're on to something.
It's really difficult to find proper pricing in racing, if you're serious about trying to beat it. It's more difficult than ever. With a win bet test, and if successful, seeking lower takeout with a bigger bankroll, the game gets a whole lot easier to figure out.
Have a nice Monday everyone.
* fine print, ID, VA, and (of course) California residents are not allowed into the offer. I feel so sorry for California players. I don't know how you even function as a customer of this sport.
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