I was handicapping the NFL this week. Tonight's game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos is highly anticipated for both fans and handicappers alike. On one side of the ball, the 9-0 Chiefs have a solid running game, a quarterback that kind of dinks and dunks and a stifling defense. On the other side of the ball you have well, a passing game. The 8-1 Broncos, at home, with that passing game, are 8 point favorites.
It's a fun match up to handicap.
Overall, and to build a dynasty, the passing teams, who rely on one player, never tend build that dynasty. Conversely, the teams that exhibit some class on both sides of the ball are usually the teams that win in the playoffs and are remembered. Brad Johnson and Trent Dilfer have two more Super Bowl rings than Dan Fouts and Dan Marino. It's not an alternate universe, it's the way it's done.
I think it's the same for racehorses. You need brilliance - you need to be a Fouts or Marino - but you need a lot more than that. You probably don't retire to stud at three. You probably have to face tremendous adversity at some point to show how tough you are. You have to race and win through lameness or sickness. If you are defeated because of those things, you better have the constitution to bounce back in a hurry. You have to beat horses who beat other great horses. You need a passing game, but you better have a whole lot more than that.
Today in HRU, the top horses from 2000-2013 were surmised.
They all have one thing in common: They have more than just a passing game. They might be so good that others who race against them do not look like they're in the same species. When you compare most of them to others who have raced the last twenty years, they did something to stand out. They show no bottom. They go a quarter another horse can not go. They go a trip others can't. They are simply better than 99.9% of the other horses in their division each year.
I hope you enjoy that list. Remembering some of the excellent horses we have been fortunate enough to see this century is always something I enjoy doing. I hope you do, too.
Oh, I like the Chiefs and the points.
Have a great Sunday everyone.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Most Trafficked, Last 12 Months
-
Auckland Reactor is coming to the US from New Zealand and he landed in the barn of the very sharp Kelvin Harrison. I don't think many w...
-
Have you seen the RCI's recent push to change the narrative on drugs and racing? The story they tell is accurate, and has been for some...
-
Yesterday on twitter there was a conversation about why some people are withholding money from Keeneland this meet. A simple question, with...
-
Back in the early 1990's I got my first real job. I was a pretty much an office gofer for a mining consortium. One day a gentleman cam...
-
Elmer Patzer walked up to a betting machine and started popping in tickets to see if he won. All of a sudden, whamo, he cashed for $6.5 mill...
-
Horses opening with 10k to win on them, at smaller venues lately? I have not been playing too seriously the past two days, however I did che...
-
Every time I flip on twitter someone is annoyed that NBC is tape delaying some of the events for prime time television. Columnists have join...
-
Canterbury Park - the small Minnesota track that lowered takeout last year, only to raise it this season - concluded their meet recently. Th...
-
Good morning folks. On Awful Announcing, columnist Matt Zemek tore a hide off ESPN for what he thinks is the dumbing down of tennis cover...
Similar
Carryovers Provide Big Reach and an Immediate Return
Sinking marketing money directly into the horseplayer by seeding pools is effective, in both theory and practice In Ontario and elsewher...
1 comment:
you probably handicap horses as bad as you handicap football
Post a Comment